Bitget App
Trade smarter
Buy cryptoMarketsTradeFuturesStocksEarnInstitutionAI & More
Bitcoin Puell Multiple Suggests Phase 4 May Be Pending Amid Ongoing Market Cycle

Bitcoin Puell Multiple Suggests Phase 4 May Be Pending Amid Ongoing Market Cycle

CoinotagCoinotag2025/07/09 16:00
By:Sheila Belson
  • Bitcoin’s Puell Multiple indicator signals that the cryptocurrency’s current market cycle is far from over, with Phase 4 still pending and bullish momentum building.

  • The extended gap between Phases 3 and 4 is unprecedented, suggesting Bitcoin is consolidating strength before a significant upward move.

  • According to crypto analyst CryptoCon, the Puell Multiple’s stable position outside the red-top zone reinforces the likelihood of continued price appreciation ahead.

Bitcoin’s Puell Multiple shows no signs of a cycle top yet, with Phase 4 pending and market data indicating a strong potential for further bullish momentum.

Unprecedented Delay Between Bitcoin Cycle Phases Highlights Market Strength

Bitcoin’s market cycle, as measured by the Puell Multiple, has exhibited an unusually long pause between Phase 3 and Phase 4. This delay is the longest recorded in the indicator’s history, marking a significant divergence from previous cycles. Traditionally, Phase 4 represents the pre-cycle top, a critical juncture preceding a parabolic price surge. The absence of this phase so far suggests that Bitcoin is currently in a consolidation phase, accumulating strength rather than signaling an imminent peak. This pattern aligns with historical data showing that extended consolidation periods often precede substantial upward moves, reinforcing the notion that the current cycle remains intact and bullish momentum is building.

Insights from CryptoCon on Cycle Progression and Market Outlook

Crypto analyst CryptoCon has emphasized the significance of this extended gap, noting that while the delay is unusual, it does not imply the cycle has ended. Instead, CryptoCon highlights that the overall cycle structure remains consistent with previous patterns, with Phases 1 through 3 completed as expected. The analyst’s commentary underscores that Bitcoin’s market dynamics are preparing for a potential breakout, with the Puell Multiple indicator maintaining an orderly progression. This perspective is supported by CryptoCon’s observation that Bitcoin is “not done,” indicating confidence in the continuation of the current bull run despite broader market uncertainties.

Puell Multiple Indicator Confirms Room for Further Price Appreciation

The Puell Multiple remains a reliable tool for assessing Bitcoin’s market cycle phases, and its current readings reinforce the bullish outlook. The indicator has yet to enter the red-top zone, which historically corresponds with market tops and periods of excessive price exuberance. This absence of overextension suggests that Bitcoin’s price is still within a sustainable range, allowing for additional upward movement. The indicator’s steady behavior supports the thesis that Bitcoin is consolidating ahead of the anticipated Phase 4 rally, providing traders and investors with a data-driven basis to expect continued growth rather than an imminent reversal.

Market Activity and Sentiment Support Continued Bullish Momentum

Bitcoin’s recent trading data further corroborates the positive outlook derived from the Puell Multiple. At $110,822, Bitcoin has demonstrated modest but consistent gains, with a 1.24% increase over the past 24 hours and a 1.12% rise over the last week. Trading volume remains robust at $39.7 billion, indicating sustained market engagement and liquidity. These metrics, combined with the stable cycle symmetry noted by CryptoCon, suggest that despite macroeconomic challenges, Bitcoin is navigating its next phase of growth. Market participants appear to be positioning themselves for the forthcoming parabolic move, reinforcing the narrative of an ongoing bullish cycle.

Conclusion

In summary, Bitcoin’s Puell Multiple analysis reveals that the cryptocurrency has not yet reached its cycle peak, with Phase 4 still forthcoming. The unprecedented delay between cycle phases points to a market consolidating strength rather than topping out. Supported by steady trading volumes and positive price action, Bitcoin’s current cycle structure remains robust, indicating that investors may anticipate further upside potential. While macroeconomic factors continue to influence market dynamics, the data-driven insights from the Puell Multiple and expert analysis provide a compelling case for a sustained bullish trajectory in the near term.

In Case You Missed It: Unstoppable Domains Explores Potential of On-Chain Domains for Mainstream and Web3 Users
0
0

Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

Understand the market, then trade.
Bitget offers one-stop trading for cryptocurrencies, stocks, and gold.
Trade now!

You may also like

Hashrate orders are booming, why is "AI trading" falling out of favor? JPMorgan reveals the time lag between AI investment and productivity realization

Joseph Lupton from the JP Morgan Global Economic Research Team pointed out in a research report on November 10 that recent improvements in labor productivity have been driven more by capital deepening and increased intensity of factor utilization. The broad efficiency gains from AI, resulting from process reconstruction, data integration, and organizational adjustments, will still take time to materialize. This means orders for chips, servers, and electrical equipment may grow first, but continuous investment returns for computing power operators and end users may not arrive at the same pace.

智通财经•2026/11/11 05:47

AI investment enters the "Trough of Disillusionment", the next 18 months will be a life-or-death test!

Goldman Sachs believes that the AI investment cycle is currently in the "trough of disillusionment," but this is not the first time. The core contradiction lies in the fact that the business models of new cloud computing providers are highly dependent on end-user returns from AI spending, while currently "there are basically zero companies that can attribute profits to AI." Social Capital founder Palihapitiya has clearly defined an 18-month key window, during which the market will decide which AI business models are sustainable and which are not.

华尔街见闻•2026/11/11 05:11
AI investment enters the "Trough of Disillusionment", the next 18 months will be a life-or-death test!

Anthropic's Core Concern: Revenue Can Be Withdrawn at Any Time, but Computing Power Costs Are Locked in for up to 20 Years

Zheshang Securities believes that Anthropic's revenue is mainly based on usage-based billing, with remaining performance obligations covering only about 5.1 months of annualized revenue, while compute power costs are already locked in with $895.4 billion in irrevocable commitments, some extending as far as 2045. Revenues can be reduced at any time, but costs are non-exitable, creating a highly asymmetric maturity gap between the two—this is the company's real core constraint.

华尔街见闻•2026/11/11 04:46
Anthropic's Core Concern: Revenue Can Be Withdrawn at Any Time, but Computing Power Costs Are Locked in for up to 20 Years

Triple Pressure from the Federal Reserve, Treasury, and Congress; Goldman Sachs: Liquidity Crisis May Occur in 2027

Goldman Sachs warns that the reserve ratio of bank assets has dropped to around 11%, only slightly above the crisis trough of 2019. In the second half of 2027, a deadlock in debt ceiling negotiations will force the Treasury to rebuild the TGA, triggering a "perfect storm" of a sharp drop in reserves and a surge in T-bill supply; combined with stalled money market fund buying, this will create a huge liquidity black hole. The Federal Reserve could be forced into the awkward position of lowering interest rates and launching large-scale bond purchases to rescue the market.

华尔街见闻•2026/11/11 04:12
Triple Pressure from the Federal Reserve, Treasury, and Congress; Goldman Sachs: Liquidity Crisis May Occur in 2027