Economist: Significant Rate Cuts Unlikely Even if Inflation Declines Further
ECB Chief Economist Lane said that while most factors suggest that inflation in the Eurozone will continue to decline, there are other factors that could push inflation higher, including tensions between the EU and the US and failed trade negotiations. When asked what this means for interest rate policy, Lane stated, "We need to find a middle ground." "If we see further signs of declining inflation, we will respond with further rate cuts," he added. But the scope of discussion is not that broad: no one is talking about significant rate cuts. "We are in a normal central bank policy area."
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EIA expects Brent crude spot prices to remain at $100 per barrel for the rest of the year and raises the average price forecasts for this year and next.
The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) has raised its forecast for average Brent crude oil prices in 2026 and 2027 to $97 and $86, respectively, reflecting pressures from global inventory declines, Middle East supply disruptions, and rising transportation costs. As oil production in the Middle East gradually recovers and global inventories rebound from low levels, the EIA expects the average spot price of Brent crude to fall to $87 per barrel in the second quarter of 2027, and further decline to $77 per barrel by the fourth quarter.


