The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining the interest rate unchanged in January is 96.8%
On January 13, according to CME "Federal Reserve Watch": The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining the interest rate in January is 96.8%, and the probability of a reduction by 25 basis points is 3.2%. By March, the probability of maintaining the current interest rate is 75.5%, the cumulative probability of a reduction by 25 basis points is 23.8%, and the cumulative probability of a reduction by 50 basis points is 0.7%.
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