Before the release of non-farm payrolls: the probability of the Fed cutting rates by 50 basis points in September is 30.5%
According to the CME “Fed Watch”: the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 69.5%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 30.5%. The probability that the Fed will cut rates by 25 basis points in November is 0%, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points is 65.0%, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 75 basis points is 33.0%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 100 basis points is 2.0%.
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The White House has canceled the previously scheduled President’s Council of Advisors on Science and Technology meeting, which was set for Friday and includes prominent tech leaders such as Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang and Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg. The Department of Energy's meeting page briefly listed November 13 as the new meeting date, but the agency later sent an email retracting this information. Currently, the specific date for rescheduling the meeting remains unclear.

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