The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in August is 95.3%.

The probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates in August is 95.3%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 4.7%. The probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates in September is 28.6%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 68.1%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 3.3%.