Traders reduce bets on a September Fed rate cut after PPI data

Morgan Stanley stated that the AI pullback is driven by valuation contraction, while profit expectations continue to rise. It advises against indiscriminate bottom-fishing upstream sectors, recommending selective allocation to application players, with priority given to those in the US and Europe with safety cushions.

Morgan Stanley remains optimistic that the company's stock price could reach $300, while "Big Short" Michael Burry questions whether its high valuation can be sustained. The real disagreement between the two sides centers on whether SpaceX can leverage the synergistic advantages of rockets, satellite communications, and AI computing power to generate sustained cash flow sufficient to support a $1 trillion valuation.

Meta's $46 billion Election Day bond issuance faced multiple challenges: a credit rating downgrade by S&P, Microsoft gaining market share, and political upheaval. The CFO personally presented to 500 investors, ultimately paying a real financial cost—the spread on the longest-term bonds widened by 90 basis points compared to April. The Democratic "blue wave" has sharply increased regulatory risks for AI data centers, tech bond spreads continued to widen last week, and whether AI capital expenditures can translate into returns remains the biggest question for the market.

China International Capital Corporation (CICC) released a research report stating that the baseline scenario remains that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates once more in December and then shift to a wait-and-see approach.