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IntoTheBlock: Hedge Funds' Arbitrage Trading Positions May Have Caused BTC to Fall in Q1

IntoTheBlock: Hedge Funds' Arbitrage Trading Positions May Have Caused BTC to Fall in Q1

2024/01/26 16:31

Hedge funds' carry trade positions could push the market higher in the fourth quarter and could lead to a market decline in the first quarter of 2024, IntoTheBlock said on the X platform. Just one month prior to the ETF's approval, bitcoin futures were trading at a premium (positive spread) of more than 2% relative to the spot price; by going long spot and short futures, the fund would execute carry trades to profit from the price difference, which could be as much as 25% to 30% annualised; as the ETF approval window approached, the futures premium quickly shifted to a discount (led by BitMEX on 6 January), suggesting that the company began to take profits, causing prices to fall.

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Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

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