調査：東アジア地域の5月CPIは前年比1.9%上昇の予想、エネルギーリスクと二次効果に対する見解は分かれる

(1) The median forecast of eight economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal indicates that the May Consumer Price Index (CPI) in the Eastern Eight District is expected to rise 1.9% year-on-year, slightly higher than April's 1.8%. (2) Economists at Moody's Analytics pointed out that energy prices, driven up by Middle East conflicts, will be transmitted to domestic gasoline and electricity costs; in addition, shipping in the strait will take some time to return to normal, and risk premiums may keep oil prices high for the coming months. (3) Barclays expects inflation to remain broadly stable and believes that as oil prices fell in May, the second-round effects of supply-side shocks may be limited. (4) The inflation data will be officially announced on Tuesday.